If you're following today's housing market, you know that the top issues consumers face are inflation and mortgage rates. Let's take a look at each one.
Inflation and the Housing Market
This year, inflation reached a high not seen in forty years. For the average consumer, you probably felt the pinch at the gas pump and in the grocery store. It may have even impacted your ability to save money to buy a home.
While the Bank of Canada is working hard to lower inflation, the data shows the inflation rate was still higher than expected. This news impacted the stock market and fueled conversations about a recession. It also played a role in the Bank of Canada's decision to raise the benchmark interest rates last week. As Bankrate says:
:...the BOC has raised rates again, announcing yet another two-quarter-point hike on December 7... The hikes are designed to cool an economy that has been on fire..."
While their actions don't directly dictate what happens with mortgage rates, their decisions have contributed to the intentional cooldown in the housing market. A recent article from Fortune explains:
"As the BOC moved into an inflation-fighting mode, financial markets quickly put upward pressure on mortgage rates. Those elevated mortgage rates and sky-high home prices threw cold water onto the housing boom."
The Impact on Rising Mortgage rates
Over the past few months, mortgage rates have fluctuated in light of growing economic pressures. Most recently, the average 5-year fixed mortgage rate ticked above 5% for the first time in well over a decade.
The mortgage rate increases this year are the big reason buyer demand has pulled back in recent months. Basically, as rates (and home prices) rose, so did the cost of buying a home. That pushed affordability and priced some buyers out of the market, so home sales slowed and the inventory of homes for sale grew as a result.
Where Experts Say Rates and Inflation Will Go from Here
Moving forward, both of these factors will continue to impact the housing market. A recent article from CNET puts the relationship between inflation and mortgage rates in simple terms:
"As a general rule, when inflation is low, mortgage rates tend to be lower. When inflation is high, rates tend to be higher."
Sam Khater, the Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, has this to say about where rates may go from here:
"Mortgage rates remained volatile due to the tug of war between inflationary pressures and a clear slowdown in economic growth. The high uncertainty surrounding inflation and other factors will likely cause rates to remain variable..."
While there's no way to say with certainty where mortgage rates will go from here, there is something you can do to stay informed, and that's to connect with a trusted real estate advisor. They keep their pulse on what's happening today and help you understand what the experts are projecting. They can provide you with the best advice possible.
Bottom Line
Rising inflation and higher mortgage rates have had a clear impact on housing. For expert insights on the latest trends in the housing market and what they mean for you, connect with me today.
source: KCM, CNET, Fortune, Freddie Mac, Bankrate
Disclaimer: The above information is from sources believed reliable but should not be relied upon without verification. The publisher assumes no responsibility for its accuracy. You are encouraged to get independent legal advice before commencing any transaction.